Saturday, August 06, 2016

6 August - Pale Moon Start Page - News














https://yandex.ru/


In Altai, Russia launched the first in the system to search for cosmic threats

In Russia, there will be four such systems: the Altai, the Crimea, Kaliningrad and the Far East. Yuriy Roy said that the order of putting on combat duty of the complex control of outer space, has already been signed.

"Roskosmos" Iran will help create and launch a space satellite

Iran and the Russian corporation "Roscosmos" came to an agreement on the construction and launch of the Iranian satellite.This was announced by Minister of Iran Mahmoud Vaezi connection.

Canadian and Russian chemists have found that minerals and Zhemchuzhnikova Stepanova, who were found in 1960 in a coal mine in Siberia, is a synthetic analogue of the natural "metal-organic framework", porous polymers with unique properties.
This was reported in an article that was published in the publication Science Advances.
It clarifies the RIA Novosti news agency reported quoting Tomislav Frishchisa of Canadian McGill University, the discovery of changing the way that these materials are "pure" synthetics, human invention.
This discovery suggests that nature may be even larger stocks of IOC.

The introduction of martial law is one of the possible scenarios - Marchuk
Turchinov statement on the introduction of martial law is alarming the population, rather than the military. He voiced one of the possible scenarios. This is evidenced by the representative of Ukraine in Minsk talks Yevhen Marchuk, the TV channel 112 Ukraine."The words of Turchynov cause alarm among the population, but the people who deal with the problems of war have become accustomed to the fact that Russia can expect from the unexpected There are several scenarios of development.", - He says. According to Marchuk, Putin predicted from the point of view of common sense, and it often works the other way around.

Under cover of the Olympics

Izvestia  

Political scientist Oleg Matveychev - that Washington is using the Olympics as an excuse and a cover

Washington has always made a lot of effort to spoil the impression of this global celebration and use it as a cover to solve their problems. This was the symbolic date of 08/08/08, when, during the opening of the Olympic Games in Beijing to launch a military invasion of Georgia in South Ossetia. The news about the Olympics was immediately displaced from the front pages of the world media. The effect of the Olympic Games was pretty spoiled.
By a similar scenario develops The situation in Brazil. US are already trying to do anything to dampen the impression of the Olympics, and all because Brazil is a country, not quite friendly States, but is an active member of the BRICS and maintains good relations with Russia and China. The blow is applied at the same time and Brazil, and Russia, for which two years of the sanctions regime because of the annexation of Crimea. Let me remind you, the runaway success of the Winter Olympics in Sochi also tried to overshadow the news reports about the alleged rusty water and poor organization of the event. But it did not help. Unable to challenge and resounding victory of our team.
And then I came to the aid of doping.
On the eve of the Brazilian Olympic detractors recruited a certain number of Russian athletes, which must now be regarded as traitors. They do not even hide that they received money in exchange for information that supposedly all competitors in Russia are taking a drug, and analyzes their secret ways substitutes FSB. This horror story could be useful for the tabloids only serious people, it would not be interested. Nevertheless, the topic is inflated, written reports, the world's leading TV show about this subjects. In parallel with developing the theme meldonium - now he also announced doping, although athletes from other countries are its analogs, without any consequences. In other words, everything is done to minimize the number of medals that would get all the Russian athletes.
Meanwhile, the discrediting of the Russian team - one of a number of problems solved in this way. Another task - to destabilize the situation in Brazil.
Recall that just before the Games Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff was suspended from his post before the final vote in the Senate on the issue of impeachment, previously scheduled for September 2.
The charges stemmed from allegations about the involvement of the Head of State to the scandal surrounding the Brazilian oil company Petrobras and the possible financing of campaigns for re-election of President by public funds.There are demonstrations of supporters and opponents Rousseff. The situation in Brazil is now so tense that resembles the situation in Ukraine two years ago.Against this background, enhanced economic uncertainty and rising rate of the national currency, are not paid salaries and pensions. Many observers in Brazil and abroad believe that the destabilization of the country to a large extent the result of Washington's policies to offset Rousseff.
And the main task of course discrediting the Olympic Games in any country except the United States.

Hundreds of people demonstrated in Rio for a few hours before the opening of the Olympic Games
Guests who have received accreditation, watching the protests from the terrace

6 August - The View

 WG1 chapter 6 mankind’s share of the atmosphere’s CO2 is basically unknown, could be anywhere from 4% to 96%.
IPCC AR5 attributes 2 W/m^2 of unbalancing RF due to the increased CO2 concentration between 1750 and 2011. In the overall global heat balance 2 W (watt is power, not energy) is lost in the magnitude and uncertainty of: ToA, 340 +/- 10, fluctuating albedo of clouds, snow and ice, and the absorption and release of heat from evaporation and condensation of the ocean and water vapor cycle.
IPCC AR5 acknowledges the LTT pause in Text Box 9.2 and laments the failure of the GCMs to model it.
The sea ice and sheet ice is expanding not shrinking, the weather (30 years = climate) is less extreme not more, the sea level rise is not accelerating, the GCM’s are repeat failures, the CAGW hypothesis is coming unraveled, COP21 has all the makings of yet another embarrassing fiasco, IPCC AR6 will mimic SNL’s Rosanna Rosanna Dana, “Well, neeeveeer mind!!”

The following is entirely my own work.
1) Per IPCC AR5 Figure 6.1 prior to year 1750 CO2 represented about 1.26% of the total biosphere carbon balance (589/46,713). After mankind’s contributions, 67 % fossil fuel and cement – 33% land use changes, atmospheric CO2 increased to about 1.77% of the total biosphere carbon balance (829/46,713). This represents a shift of 0.51% from all the collected stores, ocean outgassing, carbonates, carbohydrates, etc. not just mankind, to the atmosphere. A 0.51% rearrangement of 46,713 Gt of stores and 100s of Gt annual fluxes doesn’t impress me as measurable let alone actionable, attributable, or significant.
2) Figure 10 in the Trenberth paper (Atmospheric Moisture Transports…), in addition to substantial differences of opinion, i.e. uncertainties, 7 of the 8 balances showed more energy leaving ToA than entering, i.e. atmospheric cooling.
3) Even IPCC AR5 expresses serious doubts about the value of their AOGCMs.
Three simple points seeking three simple rebuttals. All the rest, sea levels, ice caps, polar bears, SST/LTT/ST trends, etc. don’t matter, nothing but sound and fury.
BTW a rebuttal means pointing out that these three points are in error because I forgot to carry the one or doubled instead of squared or overlooked some detail on the Figures, Tables or footnotes or some contrary interpretation better matches reality.
 
Republican Congressmen Turn on Schneiderman and co.
FORTUNE.COM

Nicholas Schroeder shared a link.
May 21LinkedIn
 
About 340 W/m^2 strikes the ToA (top of atmosphere). About 100 W/m^2 reflects straight away by albedo which is clouds, ocean and vegetation. This leaves about 240 W/m^2 to be absorbed by the
LINKEDIN.COM

340 W/m^2 arrive at the ToA, 100 W/m^2 are reflected straight away leaving 240 W/m^2 to continue into the atmosphere (80 W/m^2) and surface (160 W/m^2). In order to maintain the existing thermal equilibrium (not really required) 240 W/m^2 must leave the ToA. Leaving the surface at 1.5 m are: thermals, 17 W/m^2; evapotranspiration, 80 W/m^2; LWIR, 63 W/m^2 totaling 160 W/m^2 plus the atmosphere’s 80 W/m^2 making a grand total of 240 W/m^2 at ToA.
When more energy leaves ToA than enters it, the atmosphere will cool down. When less energy leaves the ToA than enters it, the atmosphere will heat up. The GHE theory postulates that GHGs impede/trap/store the flow of heat leaving the ToA and as a consequence the atmosphere will heat up. Actually if the energy leaving the ToA goes down, say from 240 to 238 W/m^2, the atmosphere will cool per Q/A = U * dT.
The S-B BB temperature corresponding to ToA 240 W/m^2 OLR is 255 K or -18 C. This value is compared to a surface at 1.5 m temperature of 288 K, 15 C. The 33 C higher 1.5 m surface temperature is allegedly attributed to/explained by the GHE theory.
Comparing ToA values to 1.5 m surface values is an incorrect comparison.
The ToA temperature of 255 K should be compared to the ToA surface temperature of 193 K, -80 C, not the 1.5 m above land surface temperature of 288 K, 15 C. The 255 – 193 = 62 difference is explained by the earth’s effective emissivity. The ratio of the ToA observed surface temperature to the S-B BB temperature gives the emissivity: (273-80) / (273 – 18) = .767.
Because the +33 C comparison between ToA 255 K and 1.5 m 288 K is invalid the GHE theory/explanation is an invalid non-solution to a non-problem.
References: ACS Toolkit, Trenberth et. al. 2011 “Atmospheric Moisture Transports …….” Figure 10, IPCC AR5 Annex III

Nicholas Schroeder commented on an article.
R-squared is a variation of p-values. Basically they both are statistical methods of determining whether the data means anything or is just random noise and trash. That pretty much covers everything in "climate" science.
The null hypothesis in "climate" science should be that all the hysterical observations are just due to natural variability. The goal of the "climate" science agenda is to adjust, massage, and torture the data until p-values and R squares even slightly suggest it's all mankind's fault and the sooner all those unproductive people die the better.
P-values have taken quite a beating lately. These widely used and commonly misapplied statistics have been blamed for giving a veneer of legitimacy to…
FIVETHIRTYEIGHT.COM|BY CHRISTIE ASCHWANDEN



My objections to the “science” behind mankind driven climate change: The greenhouse effect theory, i.e. upwelling/down welling/”back” radiation violates conservation of energy and thermodynamic laws. Yes, it really does! Not that it matters because the theory actually does not do anything, i.e. no net change in radiative balance at the ToA, per NASA 100 km. The notion that the earth is 33 C warmer with an atmosphere than without is incorrect. The conditions postulated for the “no atmosphere” scenario are quite obviously with an atmosphere. The true explanation for the prevailing surface temperature, heat transfer’s most fundamental equation Q = U * A * dT, is ignored. The Stephan Boltzmann ideal black body equation is incorrectly applied by ignoring the theory’s limitations and conditions, e.g. a surface, no conduction/convection, i.e. a vacuum, emissivity, gas density, tropospheric temperatures, etc. The eccentricity of the earth’s orbit causes a TSI fluctuation, apehelion to perihelion, 10 times greater than the atmospheric heating due to CO2. Natural variations such as eccentricity, albedo, water vapor, vegetation, etc. are orders of magnitude more influential over the climate than GHGs/CO2. Nick Schroeder, BSME, PE (I might be unqualified to offer an opinion since I’m not a food editor, unemployed standup comic, massage therapist, nematologist, or fresh out of journalism school.)



Guest Opinion; Dr. Tim Ball Scientists lost the scientific script somewhere in the 20th century. The major loss involved the fact that correlation is not cause and effect. It was lost for several reasons: Failure to know or consistently apply scientific methods; Lack of ethics as the end justifies the means; Methods and process are not taught or emphasized; People are more willing to bypass or ignore everything for funding; [ 1840 more words. ]

Guest Opinion; Dr. Tim Ball Scientists lost the scientific script somewhere in the 20th century. The major loss involved the fact that correlation is not cause and effect. It was lost for several r…
WATTSUPWITHTHAT.COM


The Dakota Access Pipeline will transport 450,000 barrels of crude oil fracked from the Bakken shale per day.
No Dakota Access in Treaty Territory - Camp of the Sacred Stones need your help to stop it NOW. Construction begins there in 48hours.

Sloppy bookeeping - assessment from the Tooth Fairy



Pentagon said they cannot track 6.5 TRILLION DOLLARS.
The last time the Pentagon lost over 2.3 trillion, the next day 9/11 happened and the criminals did a false flag to start the endless War On Terror...
Hopefully there aren't any false flags planned for this weekend at the Olympics.....(There probably are.)
ekim

The Defense Department over the years has been notorious for its lax accounting practi
THEFISCALTIMES.COM

This could end Hillary's campaign and the media knows it!!

WikiLeaks just dropped a bombshell so big on the Clinton campaign, it silenced the Mainstream Media -- Hillary Clinton has ties to ISIS.
THEFREETHOUGHTPROJECT.COM


Instead of helping the people of Haiti, Hillary and her cronies used the funds to give no bid contracts to her family and friends, including her brother, Tony Rodham.

For some reason people still think that Hillary Clinton is a wonderful caring person that cares about minorities, women, and the LGBT community.
ABOVETOPSECRET.COM